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Home News

SpaceX Nasdaq-100 inclusion triggers billions in passive fund buying

0xTechX by 0xTechX
July 1, 2026
in News
Reading Time: 9 mins read
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The SpaceX Nasdaq-100 addition, confirmed on June 27, 2026, is one of the fastest index entries in Wall Street history, and it is set to push billions of dollars into the stock within days. SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) joins the Nasdaq-100 on July 7, 2026, after Nasdaq announced the move following the market close. For Pakistani tech investors and IT professionals who follow global markets, this is a milestone worth understanding.

Table of Contents

Toggle
  • What Happened: SpaceX Nasdaq-100 Fast-Track Explained
  • The IPO That Started It All
  • How Much Money Will Flow Into SpaceX?
  • Why SpaceX Is Not in the S&P 500
  • What Is SpaceX Actually Worth Buying?
  • What Does This Mean for Pakistani Investors and IT Professionals?
  • Key Risks to Keep in Mind
  • Frequently Asked Questions
    • When does SpaceX join the Nasdaq-100?
    • How much money will index funds buy in SpaceX stock?
    • Why is SpaceX not joining the S&P 500 at the same time?
    • Can Pakistani investors buy SpaceX stock?

What Happened: SpaceX Nasdaq-100 Fast-Track Explained

SpaceX will officially join the Nasdaq-100 on July 7, just three weeks after its June 12 stock market debut, making it one of the fastest companies ever added to the index. Most newly listed companies wait months, or even years, before qualifying for a major index.

Effective May 1, 2026, Nasdaq’s revised rules allow any newly listed company ranked in the top 40 by market cap to enter the Nasdaq-100 after just 15 trading days. The minimum float requirement has been eliminated outright. This is how SpaceX cleared the bar so quickly.

Index-tracking funds, like the popular Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), can start buying shares after the market closes on July 6, with SpaceX officially joining the Nasdaq-100 before trading begins on July 7.

The IPO That Started It All

SpaceX completed its IPO on June 12, 2026, opening at $150 per share, an 11% gain over its $135 offering price. The company confirmed it had closed the sale of over 638 million Class A shares including the underwriters’ full option, raising approximately $85.7 billion in gross proceeds, the largest US IPO on record.

SpaceX planned its IPO at a fixed price of $135 per share, with a valuation of $1.77 trillion. That valuation would make Elon Musk’s firm the seventh-biggest company in the US, above Tesla.

The stock has already been volatile since its IPO, trading between roughly $147 and $226 after its June 12 debut. As of July 1, 2026, SPCX is trading at around $170.86.

How Much Money Will Flow Into SpaceX?

The SpaceX Nasdaq-100 inclusion is not just a badge of honour. It forces real money to move.

Inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 is expected to trigger substantial passive fund inflows. J.P. Morgan estimates approximately $4.3 billion could flow into SPCX as index-tracking funds adjust their portfolios.

QQQ alone holds around $500 billion in assets under management, and total Nasdaq-100 tracking assets exceed $1.4 trillion. SpaceX’s expected Nasdaq-100 weight lands at 0.47% to 0.70% under standard methodology.

Due to Nasdaq float rules, only about 4.3% of SpaceX shares are free-floating, but a three-times multiplier raises its effective index weight considerably. This means even a small index weighting can require large purchases by passive funds.

Why SpaceX Is Not in the S&P 500

Many readers may wonder why SpaceX is entering the Nasdaq-100 but not the more famous S&P 500. The answer comes down to rules.

Earlier this month, S&P Dow Jones Indices declined to create a fast-track process for the S&P 500. SpaceX remains ineligible for inclusion because of that index’s separate profitability and seasoning requirements.

SpaceX cannot enter the S&P 500 until at least mid-2027, and only if it posts four quarters of positive GAAP earnings. SpaceX reported a net loss of $4.9 billion in 2025 despite generating $18.67 billion in revenue.

What Is SpaceX Actually Worth Buying?

Index inclusion brings buyers, but it does not make a stock cheap or safe. Analysts are split.

Michael Field, Morningstar’s chief equity market strategist, said the fast-tracked inclusion reflects strong investor demand, but he also noted, ‘We think the stock is overvalued.’

SPCX has a price-to-sales ratio of 79.15, reflecting a very high valuation relative to its sales. That means investors are paying a lot for each rupee of revenue the company earns.

On the other hand, the business itself is growing fast. SpaceX’s Starlink connectivity unit generated $11.39 billion in revenue last year, accounting for 61% of total sales. That number went up to 69% in the first quarter of 2026. Starlink now has over 12 million active customers across more than 160 countries.

Goldman Sachs is even more bullish on the AI side. A Goldman Sachs forecast said SpaceX’s AI business could become its biggest growth driver by 2030, with AI revenue expected to surge 388% to $15.6 billion in 2026, then more than double to $34.5 billion in 2027.

What Does This Mean for Pakistani Investors and IT Professionals?

Pakistani tech investors who use international brokerage platforms can now buy SPCX directly or get exposure through ETFs that track the Nasdaq-100, such as QQQ. This is especially relevant given that Pakistan’s SBP has recently lifted banking restrictions on crypto and fintech services, signalling a broader opening toward global digital finance.

Starlink is also a name that resonates in Pakistan. The satellite internet service is available in Pakistan and is increasingly used in remote areas where fibre and 4G coverage is weak. As a public company, SpaceX now gives Pakistani investors a direct way to benefit from Starlink’s growth.

The SpaceX Nasdaq-100 story also matters for anyone watching big tech IPOs. OpenAI and Anthropic are both expected to pursue IPOs within the next two years, with potential valuations above $1 trillion. If SpaceX’s fast-track inclusion proves successful, it could become the model for future AI-era mega-listings entering the Nasdaq-100, even before they become profitable.

For Pakistani IT freelancers and professionals who earn in dollars and invest globally, understanding how index inclusion works, and what it means for stock prices, is a valuable skill. You can learn more about Pakistan’s own growing role in global tech exports in our coverage of Pakistan’s freelancer exports crossing $856 million in FY26.

Key Risks to Keep in Mind

  • Still unprofitable: SpaceX runs at a GAAP loss. Index inclusion does not change that.
  • Very low float: Only a small share of the company is freely tradable. This makes the stock more volatile in both directions.
  • Musk concentration risk: SpaceX’s IPO filing discloses super-voting Class B shares giving Musk approximately 83.5% of voting power, meaning public shareholders bear economic risk without matching governance rights.
  • Valuation debate: At over 79 times sales, the stock is priced for perfection. Any missed growth target could cause a sharp drop.

You can read more about SpaceX on the official company website at spacex.com and about Nasdaq index methodology at nasdaq.com.

Frequently Asked Questions

When does SpaceX join the Nasdaq-100?

Index-tracking funds begin purchasing shares after the market closes on July 6, with SpaceX officially joining the Nasdaq-100 before trading begins on July 7, 2026.

How much money will index funds buy in SpaceX stock?

SpaceX’s inclusion will prompt index funds and ETFs to buy shares due to mandatory portfolio rebalancing. Estimates suggest passive investors could purchase up to $4.3 billion in shares from Nasdaq-100 inclusion and $3 billion from Russell index reweighting.

Why is SpaceX not joining the S&P 500 at the same time?

S&P Dow Jones Indices declined to adopt a comparable fast-track process, leaving SpaceX ineligible due to its separate profitability and seasoning requirements. The contrast highlights a divergence in how major benchmarks are adapting their eligibility rules to high-profile IPOs.

Can Pakistani investors buy SpaceX stock?

Yes. Pakistani investors who have accounts on international brokerage platforms that allow US stock trading can buy SPCX directly. They can also get indirect exposure through ETFs that track the Nasdaq-100 index, such as Invesco QQQ. Always check your broker’s terms and applicable Pakistani regulations before investing.

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0xTechX is a tech explorer navigating the worlds of AI, cybersecurity, cloud computing, startups, and digital transformation. Dedicated to uncovering trends, decoding innovations, and delivering stories that shape the future of technology. Powered by caffeine, curiosity, and countless lines of code.

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